A record-high inflation report, the prospects of a more aggressive Fed, and growing recession fears sent stocks lower– though a Friday rally pared losses.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.16%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 lost 0.93%. The Nasdaq Composite index dropped 1.57% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, lost 3.49%.1,2,3


As the week opened, recession fears intensified with reports of renewed Covid-related lockdowns in China. Also, the U.S. dollar continued to climb, reflecting global economic weakness.

June’s consumer price index report showed price increases accelerating. Year-over-year prices jumped 9.1%, the fastest pace in over 40 years. Speculation grew that the Federal Reserve might contemplate a 100 basis point increase in short-term rates later this month rather than the 75 basis point hike it earlier signaled. The market rebounded on Friday following a Federal Open Market Committee member saying he favored a 75 basis point hike. Also helping the Friday rally was a strong retail sales report and additional second-quarter company reports. 4

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1. The Wall Street Journal, July 15, 2022
2. The Wall Street Journal, July 15, 2022
3. The Wall Street Journal, July 15, 2022
4. The Wall Street Journal, July 13, 2022